Saudi Pro League, round 8 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Al-Awwal Park
Al Nassr FC — Al Diriyah
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Al Nassr FC to win (69%), came true.
Al Nassr FC are clear favourites: 69% against 11% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Nassr FC are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Nassr FC — Al Diriyah What is xG? | 2.0–0.8 | |
| Al Nassr FC not to lose | 89% | |
| Al Diriyah not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Handicap Al Nassr FC
- Al Nassr FC goals
- Al Diriyah goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.09away · Al Khaleej1:1
- 09.09Abha2:1
- 05.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
- 28.08Al-Taawoun2:1
- 25.08away · Al-Ettifaq3:2
- 13.09Abha0:0
- 09.09away · Al Fateh FC2:1
- 03.09Al Qadsiah0:2
- 29.08away · Al-Ettifaq3:0
- 26.08Al Kholood1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem | 8 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
Next matches
- Al DiriyahAl-Taawoun17 October · Saudi Pro League4530241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- Al Nassr FCNeom SC20 October · Saudi Pro League6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 1221672The most likely outcome came true: 20:5Final score 0:5. Model's score: 1:3.3.4
- 1423632The most likely outcome came true: 20:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 0:2.3.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →