Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Al Nassr FC — Neom SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Al Nassr FC are clear favourites: 69% against 11% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Nassr FC are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Al Nassr FC — No. 3, 19 pts; Neom SC — No. 5, 16 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Neom SC: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Al Nassr FC 2 wins, Neom SC 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al Nassr FC — Neom SC What is xG? | 2.1–0.8 | |
| Al Nassr FC not to lose | 89% | |
| Neom SC not to lose | 31% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al Nassr FC
- Al Nassr FC goals
- Neom SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 09.10Al Diriyah3:0
- 12.09away · Al Khaleej1:1
- 09.09Abha2:1
- 05.09away · Al Ittihad1:2
- 28.08Al-Taawoun2:1
- 10.10away · Al Hazem1:1
- 13.09Al Fateh FC4:2
- 07.09away · Al Hilal2:0
- 03.09Al Khaleej3:0
- 28.08away · Al Riyadh0:1
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Al Nassr FC — Neom SC1:0
- 08.11.2025Neom SC — Al Nassr FC1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 5626171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 1422642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.4
- 2628452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →