Saudi Pro League, round 12 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Al-Taawoun — Al-Ettifaq

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Model prediction for 31 October

Al-Taawoun43%
Draw28%
Al-Ettifaq29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Al-Taawoun are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.

3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).

Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Al-Taawoun are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Al-Taawoun — No. 17, 3 pts; Al-Ettifaq — No. 7, 12 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
  • Al-Taawoun: 3 defeats in a row; Al-Ettifaq: unbeaten in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Al-Taawoun 2 wins, Al-Ettifaq 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Al-Taawoun — Al-Ettifaq What is xG?1.7–1.4
Al-Taawoun not to lose71%
Al-Ettifaq not to lose57%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.558%
Total under 2.542%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Al-Taawoun
  • Al-Taawoun goals
  • Al-Ettifaq goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Al-Taawoun

  • 11.10away · Al Shabab0:3
  • 12.09Al Hilal0:6
  • 08.09away · Al Hazem0:1
  • 05.09Al Fateh FC0:0
  • 28.08away · Al Nassr FC1:2

Al-Ettifaq

  • 10.10Al Khaleej1:1
  • 11.09away · Al Qadsiah3:3
  • 08.09Al-Faisaly0:0
  • 04.09away · Abha1:0
  • 29.08Al Diriyah0:3

Head to head

  • 03.02.2026Al-Ettifaq — Al-Taawoun1:0
  • 18.09.2025Al-Taawoun — Al-Ettifaq4:1
  • 26.02.2025Al-Ettifaq — Al-Taawoun1:0
  • 29.09.2024Al-Taawoun — Al-Ettifaq1:1
  • 27.05.2024Al-Taawoun — Al-Ettifaq1:0

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Al Ahli850320–10+1015
7Al-Ettifaq833212–12012
8Al Kholood833212–15-312
16, RelegationAl Fateh FC80354–15-113
17, RelegationAl-Taawoun80353–15-123
18, RelegationAbha70255–13-82

Season 2026/27

Full table

Saudi Pro League on the same day

  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →