Saudi Pro League, round 10 · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Al-Taawoun — Al Qadsiah
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Al Qadsiah are clear favourites: 63% against 14% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Qadsiah are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Al-Taawoun — No. 17, 3 pts; Al Qadsiah — No. 2, 19 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Al-Taawoun: 3 defeats in a row; Al Qadsiah: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: Al-Taawoun 2 wins, Al Qadsiah 1, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Al-Taawoun 9, Al Qadsiah 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Taawoun — Al Qadsiah What is xG? | 1.1–2.3 | |
| Al-Taawoun not to lose | 37% | |
| Al Qadsiah not to lose | 86% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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- Al Qadsiah goals
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Form
- 11.10away · Al Shabab0:3
- 12.09Al Hilal0:6
- 08.09away · Al Hazem0:1
- 05.09Al Fateh FC0:0
- 28.08away · Al Nassr FC1:2
- 09.10away · Al Kholood5:0
- 11.09Al-Ettifaq3:3
- 08.09Al Ahli3:2
- 03.09away · Al Diriyah2:0
- 30.08Al-Faisaly3:1
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Al Qadsiah — Al-Taawoun1:1
- 01.11.2025Al-Taawoun — Al Qadsiah2:0
- 11.05.2025Al-Taawoun — Al Qadsiah0:1
- 11.01.2025Al Qadsiah — Al-Taawoun0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr FC | 8 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 16, Relegation | Al Fateh FC | 8 | 0 | -11 | 3 |
| 17, Relegation | Al-Taawoun | 8 | 0 | -12 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Abha | 7 | 0 | -8 | 2 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 5626171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2628452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- 6920111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →