Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Alanyaspor — Kocaelispor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Alanyaspor are clear favourites: 46% against 23% for the opponent, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 2.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alanyaspor are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Alanyaspor — No. 6, 12 pts; Kocaelispor — No. 7, 12 pts.
- Alanyaspor: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Alanyaspor 1 win, Kocaelispor 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alanyaspor — Kocaelispor What is xG? | 1.4–1.0 | |
| Alanyaspor not to lose | 77% | |
| Kocaelispor not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor goals
- Kocaelispor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Erzurumspor FK0:0
- 19.09away · Çorum FK2:1
- 12.09Göztepe2:2
- 07.09away · Rizespor1:0
- 30.08away · Eyüpspor1:2
- 11.10away · Beşiktaş1:2
- 19.09Gaziantep FK2:0
- 13.09away · Galatasaray0:1
- 06.09Samsunspor1:0
- 29.08away · Konyaspor2:1
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Alanyaspor — Kocaelispor5:0
- 25.10.2025Kocaelispor — Alanyaspor2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | +11 | 13 |
| 6 | Alanyaspor | 7 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | Kocaelispor | 7 | 4 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →