Segunda Division, round 11 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Albacete — Eldense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Albacete are slightly stronger: 46% against 27%, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Albacete are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Albacete — Eldense What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Albacete not to lose | 73% | |
| Eldense not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Albacete
- Albacete goals
- Eldense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 12.10away · Real Valladolid0:5
- 03.10Eibar1:3
- 25.09away · Girona0:2
- 18.09Córdoba1:2
- 12.09away · Granada1:1
- 10.10Córdoba2:1
- 02.10Real Oviedo4:1
- 27.09away · Burgos CF0:1
- 19.09Eibar1:2
- 13.09away · Sporting Gijón1:0
Head to head
- 23.02.2025Albacete — Eldense0:1
- 16.11.2024Eldense — Albacete2:0
- 21.04.2024Eldense — Albacete0:1
- 19.12.2023Albacete — Eldense1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 21, Relegation | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
| 22, Relegation | Albacete | 9 | 0 | -15 | 1 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- SabadellTenerifepreliminary6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- CádizAD Ceuta FCpreliminary4926241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- CastellónSporting Gijónpreliminary5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →