Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Aldosivi — Belgrano

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Model prediction for 25 October

Aldosivi27%
Draw30%
Belgrano43%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Belgrano are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.

2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 42%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Belgrano are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Aldosivi — Belgrano What is xG?0.9–1.2
Aldosivi not to lose57%
Belgrano not to lose73%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes42%
Both teams to score: no58%
Total over 2.534%
Total under 2.566%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Aldosivi
  • Aldosivi goals
  • Belgrano goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Aldosivi

  • 09.10Sarmiento1:3
  • 04.10away · Huracán0:1
  • 21.09Atlético Tucumán1:0
  • 12.09away · Independiente Rivadavia3:4
  • 05.09Banfield3:1

Belgrano

  • 12.10away · Racing Club2:0
  • 04.10away · Talleres1:0
  • 21.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
  • 13.09away · Sarmiento1:1
  • 05.09Huracán1:1

Head to head

  • 11.04.2026Belgrano — Aldosivi1:0
  • 15.08.2025Aldosivi — Belgrano0:0
  • 12.02.2025Belgrano — Aldosivi2:0

Full record: 3 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →