Peruvian Liga 1 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Alianza Atlético — ADC Juan Pablo II
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Alianza Atlético are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Alianza Atlético are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- ADC Juan Pablo II: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 3 meetings: Alianza Atlético 1 win, ADC Juan Pablo II 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Alianza Atlético — ADC Juan Pablo II What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Alianza Atlético not to lose | 85% | |
| ADC Juan Pablo II not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Alianza Atlético
- Alianza Atlético goals
- ADC Juan Pablo II goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Sport Boys3:1
- 18.09Comerciantes Unidos2:1
- 13.09away · Atlético Grau1:3
- 04.09CD UT Cajamarca3:2
- 30.08away · Club Deportivo Moquegua4:1
- 10.10away · Comerciantes Unidos1:1
- 20.09Club Deportivo Moquegua4:0
- 11.09away · CD UT Cajamarca2:1
- 06.09Alianza Lima1:1
- 29.08away · Los Chankas4:3
Head to head
- 16.05.2026ADC Juan Pablo II — Alianza Atlético0:2
- 13.09.2025Alianza Atlético — ADC Juan Pablo II0:1
- 12.04.2025ADC Juan Pablo II — Alianza Atlético1:0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →