Uzbekistan Super League, round 24 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK
Andijon — Qizilqum Zarafshon
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Andijon are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Andijon — No. 9, 30 pts; Qizilqum Zarafshon — No. 10, 30 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Andijon — Qizilqum Zarafshon What is xG? | 1.4–1.1 | |
| Andijon not to lose | 72% | |
| Qizilqum Zarafshon not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Andijon
- Andijon goals
- Qizilqum Zarafshon goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Buxoro2:3
- 20.09Nasaf Qarshi1:4
- 10.09Kokand 19122:1
- 04.09away · Pakhtakor Tashkent0:3
- 25.08Xorazm1:0
- 10.10Surkhon-20110:0
- 21.09away · Xorazm3:1
- 10.09away · Dinamo Samarkand0:1
- 05.09Buxoro3:2
- 26.08Nasaf Qarshi1:0
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Qizilqum Zarafshon — Andijon2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijon | 23 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 23 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 23 | 8 | -6 | 28 |
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 1522622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →