Super League Greece, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Aris Thessaloniki — Atromitos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Aris Thessaloniki are clear favourites: 52% against 19% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Aris Thessaloniki are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Aris Thessaloniki — Atromitos What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Aris Thessaloniki not to lose | 81% | |
| Atromitos not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Aris Thessaloniki
- Aris Thessaloniki goals
- Atromitos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10NFC Volos3:2
- 19.09Iraklis0:0
- 13.09away · PAOK Thessaloniki0:2
- 05.09away · AEK Athens0:5
- 30.08OFI Crete2:1
- 10.10away · Asteras Tripolis1:2
- 19.09Kifisia FC1:2
- 12.09away · Iraklis1:1
- 06.09Kalamata1:1
- 30.08PAOK Thessaloniki1:2
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Aris Thessaloniki — Atromitos0:0
- 13.09.2025Atromitos — Aris Thessaloniki1:2
- 26.04.2025Atromitos — Aris Thessaloniki1:1
- 13.04.2025Aris Thessaloniki — Atromitos1:0
- 07.12.2024Aris Thessaloniki — Atromitos2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 6 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Iraklis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | NFC Volos | 6 | 0 | -6 | 2 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- OlympiacosKalamatapreliminary811451The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- NFC VolosPanathinaikospreliminary1525592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- OFI CretePAOK Thessalonikipreliminary1727562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →