Super League Greece, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

NFC Volos — Panathinaikos

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Model prediction for 25 October

NFC Volos15%
Draw25%
Panathinaikos59%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 59% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Panathinaikos are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: NFC Volos — Panathinaikos What is xG?1.0–1.9
NFC Volos not to lose41%
Panathinaikos not to lose85%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.555%
Total under 2.545%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap NFC Volos
  • NFC Volos goals
  • Panathinaikos goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

NFC Volos

  • 11.10away · Aris Thessaloniki2:3
  • 20.09AEK Athens1:2
  • 13.09away · Kalamata1:3
  • 05.09Olympiacos1:1
  • 29.08Iraklis1:1

Panathinaikos

  • 11.10away · Olympiacos0:1
  • 20.09away · Kalamata1:0
  • 13.09Panetolikos3:0
  • 10.09Kifisia FC3:1
  • 06.09PAOK Thessaloniki3:1

Head to head

  • 14.12.2025Panathinaikos — NFC Volos2:1
  • 01.11.2025NFC Volos — Panathinaikos1:0
  • 16.02.2025Panathinaikos — NFC Volos2:1
  • 03.11.2024NFC Volos — Panathinaikos0:1
  • 20.12.2023NFC Volos — Panathinaikos0:3

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1Panathinaikos650112–3+915
2AEK Athens642016–3+1314
12Atromitos60245–9-42
13NFC Volos60246–12-62
14Levadiakos60150–11-111

Season 2026/27

Full table

Greek Super League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →