2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Arminia Bielefeld — VfL Osnabrück
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Arminia Bielefeld are clear favourites: 56% against 21% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Arminia Bielefeld are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arminia Bielefeld — VfL Osnabrück What is xG? | 2.2–1.3 | |
| Arminia Bielefeld not to lose | 79% | |
| VfL Osnabrück not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Arminia Bielefeld
- Arminia Bielefeld goals
- VfL Osnabrück goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Bochum1:0
- 20.09FC Heidenheim2:2
- 11.09away · Darmstadt1:2
- 04.09St. Pauli2:2
- 29.08away · 1. FC Nürnberg1:4
- 10.10Dynamo Dresden1:1
- 19.09away · Holstein Kiel1:1
- 13.09Hertha BSC1:3
- 06.09Eintracht Braunschweig3:1
- 02.09Bayern München1:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →