2. Bundesliga, round 8 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Dynamo Dresden 37%, Magdeburg 36%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Dynamo Dresden — No. 16, 5 pts; Magdeburg — No. 4, 13 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Dynamo Dresden: winless in 5.
- Last 2 meetings: Dynamo Dresden 1 win, Magdeburg 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Dynamo Dresden not to lose | 64% | |
| Magdeburg not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Dynamo Dresden
- Dynamo Dresden goals
- Magdeburg goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · VfL Osnabrück1:1
- 19.09Hertha BSC1:2
- 12.09away · Eintracht Braunschweig2:2
- 05.09Bochum1:2
- 29.08away · FC Heidenheim3:5
- 10.10Hannover 963:0
- 18.09away · Greuther Fürth1:1
- 12.09Kaiserslautern3:0
- 06.09away · Hertha BSC1:2
- 30.08Holstein Kiel2:0
Head to head
- 24.01.2026Magdeburg — Dynamo Dresden1:2
- 09.08.2025Dynamo Dresden — Magdeburg1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | +7 | 12 |
| 15 | Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 4227311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →