Super League Greece, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Asteras Tripolis — Levadiakos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Asteras Tripolis 33%, Levadiakos 35%, draw 32%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Levadiakos are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Asteras Tripolis — Levadiakos What is xG? | 1.2–1.3 | |
| Asteras Tripolis not to lose | 65% | |
| Levadiakos not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Asteras Tripolis
- Asteras Tripolis goals
- Levadiakos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Atromitos2:1
- 20.09away · OFI Crete2:2
- 13.09AEK Athens1:1
- 07.09Iraklis0:2
- 30.08Olympiacos0:1
- 11.10away · Iraklis0:2
- 20.09Olympiacos0:1
- 13.09away · Kifisia FC0:0
- 06.09Panetolikos0:2
- 31.08Panathinaikos0:2
Head to head
- 01.02.2026Levadiakos — Asteras Tripolis3:1
- 07.12.2025Asteras Tripolis — Levadiakos1:1
- 19.01.2025Levadiakos — Asteras Tripolis1:2
- 28.09.2024Asteras Tripolis — Levadiakos1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | NFC Volos | 6 | 0 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | -11 | 1 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- IraklisKifisia FCpreliminary393327XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
- AEK AthensPanetolikospreliminary861141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →