Serie A, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Atalanta — Frosinone
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atalanta are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atalanta are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atalanta — Frosinone What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| Atalanta not to lose | 85% | |
| Frosinone not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atalanta
- Atalanta goals
- Frosinone goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 10.10away · Napoli0:3
- 20.09Como2:0
- 12.09away · Genoa1:1
- 06.09Venezia3:2
- 02.09away · Sassuolo1:1
Head to head
- 15.01.2024Atalanta — Frosinone5:0
- 26.08.2023Frosinone — Atalanta2:1
- 20.01.2019Frosinone — Atalanta0:5
Table
Serie A on the same day
- InterFiorentinapreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- GenoaVeneziapreliminary5229201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- LecceJuventuspreliminary1024662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
- UdineseMilanpreliminary2129502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →