Serie A, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Genoa — Venezia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Genoa are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Genoa are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Genoa — Venezia What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Genoa not to lose | 80% | |
| Venezia not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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Form
- 12.10away · Atalanta1:3
- 19.09Lazio0:2
- 11.09Fiorentina2:4
- 06.09away · Frosinone2:3
- 02.09away · Udinese1:2
Head to head
- 17.02.2025Genoa — Venezia2:0
- 21.09.2024Venezia — Genoa2:0
- 16.01.2023Genoa — Venezia1:0
- 14.08.2022Venezia — Genoa1:2
- 20.02.2022Venezia — Genoa1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Monza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Parma | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 19, Relegation | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Venezia | 6 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Serie A on the same day
- InterFiorentinapreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- AtalantaFrosinonepreliminary6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
- LecceJuventuspreliminary1024662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
- UdineseMilanpreliminary2129502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →