Brazilian Serie A, round 31 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Athletico Paranaense — Palmeiras
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Athletico Paranaense 37%, Palmeiras 34%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Athletico Paranaense — Palmeiras What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Athletico Paranaense not to lose | 66% | |
| Palmeiras not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Athletico Paranaense
- Athletico Paranaense goals
- Palmeiras goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Chapecoense4:1
- 09.10Atlético-MG2:2
- 21.09Bahia2:1
- 12.09away · Coritiba3:3
- 06.09away · Cruzeiro1:3
- 11.10Corinthians4:1
- 09.10Bahia1:0
- 20.09away · Grêmio0:0
- 17.09away · LDU de Quito2:3
- 13.09São Paulo2:0
Head to head
- 20.04.2026Palmeiras — Athletico Paranaense1:0
- 02.09.2024Athletico Paranaense — Palmeiras0:2
- 12.05.2024Palmeiras — Athletico Paranaense0:2
- 05.11.2023Palmeiras — Athletico Paranaense1:0
- 02.07.2023Athletico Paranaense — Palmeiras2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Copa Libertadores | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | +33 | 64 |
| 2, Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | +30 | 63 |
| 3, Copa Libertadores | Athletico Paranaense | 30 | 15 | +14 | 53 |
| 4, Copa Libertadores | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | +11 | 51 |
Brasileirao on the same day
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 4528261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →