Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Inter Miami CF are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter Miami CF are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF What is xG? | 1.5–2.0 | |
| Atlanta United not to lose | 52% | |
| Inter Miami CF not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlanta United
- Atlanta United goals
- Inter Miami CF goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10FC Cincinnati1:3
- 27.09New York City FC2:2
- 20.09away · Portland Timbers1:0
- 13.09away · DC United0:0
- 10.09Orlando City2:3
- 11.10DC United4:0
- 28.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 21.09San Diego FC2:2
- 13.09Nashville SC2:2
- 10.09away · Chicago Fire FC1:1
Head to head
- 06.09.2026Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United2:2
- 12.10.2025Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United4:0
- 17.03.2025Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF1:2
- 10.11.2024Inter Miami CF — Atlanta United2:3
- 03.11.2024Atlanta United — Inter Miami CF2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
MLS on the same day
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.6
- 1524612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →