Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites: 61% against 15% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vancouver Whitecaps are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps What is xG? | 1.1–2.2 | |
| Austin FC not to lose | 39% | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps not to lose | 85% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Austin FC
- Austin FC goals
- Vancouver Whitecaps goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10Nashville SC1:4
- 27.09San Diego FC3:3
- 20.09away · FC Dallas0:0
- 14.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps2:1
- 10.09Colorado Rapids1:1
- 11.10away · Los Angeles FC1:1
- 07.10away · Chicago Fire FC1:3
- 27.09DC United3:3
- 20.09away · Real Salt Lake3:0
- 14.09Austin FC1:2
Head to head
- 14.09.2026Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC1:2
- 18.05.2025Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps0:0
- 13.04.2025Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC5:1
- 01.09.2024Austin FC — Vancouver Whitecaps0:1
- 05.05.2024Vancouver Whitecaps — Austin FC0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.6
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →