Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Atlanta United — Toronto FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atlanta United are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlanta United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlanta United — Toronto FC What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Atlanta United not to lose | 73% | |
| Toronto FC not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlanta United
- Atlanta United goals
- Toronto FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10FC Cincinnati1:3
- 27.09New York City FC2:2
- 20.09away · Portland Timbers1:0
- 13.09away · DC United0:0
- 10.09Orlando City2:3
- 10.10CF Montréal2:1
- 27.09away · Nashville SC0:2
- 20.09away · St. Louis City1:3
- 13.09away · Orlando City0:3
- 10.09Nashville SC2:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Toronto FC — Atlanta United1:2
- 24.08.2025Atlanta United — Toronto FC0:0
- 13.07.2025Toronto FC — Atlanta United1:1
- 30.06.2024Atlanta United — Toronto FC2:1
- 24.03.2024Toronto FC — Atlanta United2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 24 | Austin FC | 28 | 7 | -15 | 31 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
MLS on the same day
- Nashville SCRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders FCpreliminary6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- New England RevolutionInter Miami CFpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.7
- Los Angeles FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary5624191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo FCpreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →