Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Portland Timbers — Houston Dynamo FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Portland Timbers are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Portland Timbers — No. 20, 33 pts; Houston Dynamo FC — No. 10, 45 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Portland Timbers: winless in 5; Houston Dynamo FC: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Portland Timbers 1 win, Houston Dynamo FC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Portland Timbers — Houston Dynamo FC What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Portland Timbers not to lose | 71% | |
| Houston Dynamo FC not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Portland Timbers
- Portland Timbers goals
- Houston Dynamo FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Sporting Kansas City3:3
- 27.09away · San Jose Earthquakes1:3
- 20.09Atlanta United0:1
- 13.09away · FC Dallas1:2
- 10.09St. Louis City2:2
- 11.10away · Minnesota United2:2
- 27.09Sporting Kansas City0:2
- 20.09FC Cincinnati2:2
- 13.09away · San Jose Earthquakes0:1
- 10.09Real Salt Lake2:1
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Houston Dynamo FC — Portland Timbers3:2
- 21.09.2025Houston Dynamo FC — Portland Timbers1:0
- 31.03.2025Portland Timbers — Houston Dynamo FC3:1
- 02.06.2024Portland Timbers — Houston Dynamo FC2:2
- 17.03.2024Houston Dynamo FC — Portland Timbers1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 11 | +13 | 42 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
| 20 | Portland Timbers | 28 | 9 | -3 | 33 |
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
MLS on the same day
- Nashville SCRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary6322151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders FCpreliminary6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Atlanta UnitedToronto FCpreliminary4527271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- New England RevolutionInter Miami CFpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.7
- Los Angeles FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary5624191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →