Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Atlético Baleares — Eldense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Eldense are clear favourites: 51% against 24% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eldense are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético Baleares — Eldense What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| Atlético Baleares not to lose | 49% | |
| Eldense not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético Baleares
- Atlético Baleares goals
- Eldense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 17.12Atlético Madrid2:3
- 04.12Espanyol1:0
- 30.10Gimnàstic2:0
- 13.11away · Arnedo1:1
- 16.01Valencia0:1
- 10.10Córdoba2:1
- 02.10Real Oviedo4:1
- 27.09away · Burgos CF0:1
- 19.09Eibar1:2
- 13.09away · Sporting Gijón1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Atletico CalatayudOsasunapreliminary714802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- UB LebrijanaGetafepreliminary613802The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- San Sebastian de los ReyesCD Coriapreliminary4226311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- AntequeraCDA Águilas FCpreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- ConquenseCastellónpreliminary816762The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.3
- GuijueloSporting Gijónpreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- CD LaredoBurgos CFpreliminary815772The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
- Real ÁvilaUnionistas de Salamancapreliminary2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →