Copa del Rey · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Auriense — Deportivo A Coruña

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Model prediction for 29 October

Auriense8%
Draw15%
Deportivo A Coruña78%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Deportivo A Coruña are clear favourites: 78% against 8% for the opponent, draw 15%.

3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo A Coruña are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Auriense — Deportivo A Coruña What is xG?0.7–2.6
Auriense not to lose22%
Deportivo A Coruña not to lose92%
No draw85%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.565%
Total under 2.535%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Auriense
  • Auriense goals
  • Deportivo A Coruña goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Auriense

No past matches in the data yet.

Deportivo A Coruña

  • 11.10away · Real Sociedad2:3
  • 20.09Real Betis1:1
  • 16.09Sevilla0:1
  • 13.09away · Getafe1:1
  • 05.09away · Villarreal3:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Copa del Rey on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →