Austrian Bundesliga, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Austria Lustenau — LASK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
LASK are clear favourites: 68% against 12% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings LASK are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Austria Lustenau — No. 8, 8 pts; LASK — No. 3, 16 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- LASK: winless in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Austria Lustenau 0 wins, LASK 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Austria Lustenau — LASK What is xG? | 1.1–2.6 | |
| Austria Lustenau not to lose | 32% | |
| LASK not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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Form
- 11.10away · Hartberg3:4
- 19.09Altach2:0
- 13.09away · Austria Wien1:2
- 28.08WSG Tirol0:4
- 22.08away · Sturm Graz1:1
- 11.10Rapid Wien0:2
- 20.09away · Hartberg3:3
- 13.09away · Sturm Graz1:2
- 08.09away · AEK Athens0:1
- 01.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:1
Head to head
- 09.12.2023Austria Lustenau — LASK1:3
- 03.09.2023LASK — Austria Lustenau2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Championship round | Salzburg | 8 | 5 | +14 | 18 |
| 3, Championship round | LASK | 8 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 4, Championship round | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 7, Relegation round | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | -10 | 9 |
| 8, Relegation round | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 9, Relegation round | WSG Tirol | 8 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- 4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →