Serie B, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Avellino — Pisa

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Model prediction for 1 November

Avellino29%
Draw30%
Pisa41%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Pisa are slightly stronger: 41% against 29%, draw 30%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Pisa are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Avellino — Pisa What is xG?1.2–1.4
Avellino not to lose59%
Pisa not to lose71%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Avellino
  • Avellino goals
  • Pisa goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Avellino

  • 09.10Sampdoria4:1
  • 19.09away · Ascoli1:3
  • 13.09Palermo1:1
  • 06.09away · Modena1:0
  • 29.08LR Vicenza3:0

Pisa

  • 10.10away · LR Vicenza3:0
  • 20.09away · Mantova2:2
  • 15.09away · Fiorentina0:3
  • 11.09Virtus Entella1:4
  • 06.09away · Juve Stabia3:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5, Promotion play-offsAscoli63217–4+311
6, Promotion play-offsAvellino631211–7+410
7, Promotion play-offsPisa631211–8+310
8, Promotion play-offsBenevento63128–5+310

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • ArezzoAscolipreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →