Serie B, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Arezzo — Ascoli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Arezzo 34%, Ascoli 35%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Arezzo — No. 12, 7 pts; Ascoli — No. 5, 11 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Arezzo — Ascoli What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Arezzo not to lose | 65% | |
| Ascoli not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Arezzo
- Arezzo goals
- Ascoli goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Cremonese0:0
- 20.09Südtirol1:4
- 11.09away · Empoli1:0
- 06.09away · Hellas Verona0:5
- 30.08Palermo2:3
- 10.10away · Südtirol0:0
- 19.09Avellino3:1
- 12.09away · Padova0:1
- 05.09Benevento1:0
- 29.08Carrarese1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Serie B on the same day
- AvellinoPisapreliminary2830422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- EmpoliJuve Stabiapreliminary4130291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- Hellas VeronaCarraresepreliminary5725191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- PalermoLR Vicenzapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →