Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 3 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
AVS Futebol SAD — Moreirense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: AVS Futebol SAD 36%, Moreirense 38%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- AVS Futebol SAD: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 4 meetings: AVS Futebol SAD 0 wins, Moreirense 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AVS Futebol SAD — Moreirense What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| AVS Futebol SAD not to lose | 62% | |
| Moreirense not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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- Handicap AVS Futebol SAD
- AVS Futebol SAD goals
- Moreirense goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Sintrense2:0
- 16.05away · Moreirense0:0
- 10.05FC Porto3:1
- 02.05away · Nacional2:1
- 26.04Sporting CP1:1
- 09.10Gil Vicente0:1
- 20.09away · Vitória de Guimarães1:1
- 14.09Marítimo3:1
- 09.09Benfica0:4
- 04.09away · FC Porto1:2
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Moreirense — AVS Futebol SAD0:0
- 03.01.2026AVS Futebol SAD — Moreirense0:2
- 17.05.2025AVS Futebol SAD — Moreirense0:3
- 04.01.2025Moreirense — AVS Futebol SAD1:1
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- 1320672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.9
- 7018111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1823592The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →