Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Barcelona SC — Universidad Católica (ECU)
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Barcelona SC are slightly stronger: 39% against 32%, draw 29%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Barcelona SC 0 wins, Universidad Católica (ECU) 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barcelona SC — Universidad Católica (ECU) What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Barcelona SC not to lose | 68% | |
| Universidad Católica (ECU) not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Barcelona SC
- Barcelona SC goals
- Universidad Católica (ECU) goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · LDU de Quito1:2
- 14.09Delfín1:1
- 07.09away · Aucas1:1
- 03.09Independiente del Valle2:1
- 30.08away · Manta0:2
- 11.10CSD Macará0:1
- 21.09away · LDU de Quito1:2
- 15.09Orense2:1
- 07.09away · Delfín1:0
- 03.09Aucas1:1
Head to head
- 22.07.2026Universidad Católica (ECU) — Barcelona SC2:1
- 22.03.2026Barcelona SC — Universidad Católica (ECU)1:1
- 08.12.2025Barcelona SC — Universidad Católica (ECU)1:1
- 03.11.2025Universidad Católica (ECU) — Barcelona SC1:1
- 01.09.2025Barcelona SC — Universidad Católica (ECU)2:3
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →