Belarusian Premier League · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK

BATE — Neman

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Model prediction for 14 October

BATE29%
Draw27%
Neman44%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Neman are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Neman are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: BATE — Neman What is xG?0.9–1.3
BATE not to lose56%
Neman not to lose71%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.538%
Total under 2.562%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap BATE
  • BATE goals
  • Neman goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

BATE

  • 10.10Slavia Mozyr2:1
  • 19.09away · Din. Minsk0:2
  • 13.09Naftan2:2
  • 07.09away · Dynamo Brest0:1
  • 03.09away · Isloch0:2

Neman

  • 10.10Baranovici3:0
  • 19.09away · Isloch2:1
  • 12.09Zhodino1:0
  • 06.09away · Belshina2:2
  • 29.08Slavia Mozyr1:0

Head to head

  • 21.03.2026Neman — BATE0:0
  • 02.11.2025Neman — BATE0:2
  • 14.06.2025BATE — Neman1:5
  • 02.11.2024BATE — Neman0:3
  • 15.06.2024Neman — BATE1:0

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
4Dynamo Brest24134739–23+1643
5Neman23124729–20+940
6FC Gomel24116734–23+1139
12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk24581124–42-1823
13BATE23491018–28-1021
14, Relegation play-offBelshina23561223–40-1721

Season 2026

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →