BATE — Neman
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
Neman are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 27%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neman are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: BATE — Neman What is xG? | 0.9–1.3 | |
| BATE not to lose | 56% | |
| Neman not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap BATE
- BATE goals
- Neman goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Slavia Mozyr2:1
- 19.09away · Din. Minsk0:2
- 13.09Naftan2:2
- 07.09away · Dynamo Brest0:1
- 03.09away · Isloch0:2
- 10.10Baranovici3:0
- 19.09away · Isloch2:1
- 12.09Zhodino1:0
- 06.09away · Belshina2:2
- 29.08Slavia Mozyr1:0
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Neman — BATE0:0
- 02.11.2025Neman — BATE0:2
- 14.06.2025BATE — Neman1:5
- 02.11.2024BATE — Neman0:3
- 15.06.2024Neman — BATE1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | +16 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | -10 | 21 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →