Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Belgrano — River Plate
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Evenly matched: Belgrano 30%, River Plate 36%, draw 33%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings River Plate are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Belgrano — River Plate What is xG? | 1.0–1.1 | |
| Belgrano not to lose | 64% | |
| River Plate not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 35% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Belgrano
- Belgrano goals
- River Plate goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Racing Club2:0
- 04.10away · Talleres1:0
- 21.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 13.09away · Sarmiento1:1
- 05.09Huracán1:1
- 11.10Estudiantes de Río Cuarto1:0
- 20.09Huracán1:2
- 12.09away · Atlético Tucumán2:1
- 07.09Independiente Rivadavia3:1
- 30.08away · Banfield3:2
Head to head
- 24.05.2026River Plate — Belgrano2:3
- 06.04.2026River Plate — Belgrano3:0
- 19.05.2024River Plate — Belgrano3:0
- 05.02.2023Belgrano — River Plate2:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5727161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
- 4331271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →