Estudiantes — San Lorenzo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Estudiantes are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Estudiantes are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Estudiantes — San Lorenzo What is xG? | 1.4–0.7 | |
| Estudiantes not to lose | 84% | |
| San Lorenzo not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 34% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 66% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Estudiantes
- Estudiantes goals
- San Lorenzo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
- 06.10Gimnasia Mendoza3:0
- 02.10away · Club Atlético Platense0:1
- 22.09away · Lanús1:2
- 17.09away · Corinthians1:0
- 11.10Deportivo Riestra1:0
- 03.10away · Defensa y Justicia0:3
- 20.09Boca Juniors0:2
- 14.09away · Independiente1:1
- 06.09Talleres1:0
Head to head
- 04.04.2026San Lorenzo — Estudiantes1:0
- 06.11.2024San Lorenzo — Estudiantes1:1
- 22.06.2023Estudiantes — San Lorenzo1:1
- 07.08.2022San Lorenzo — Estudiantes0:0
- 27.08.2021Estudiantes — San Lorenzo2:0
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4331271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 303336XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →