Serie A, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Bologna — Inter
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Inter are clear favourites: 59% against 16% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bologna — Inter What is xG? | 0.9–1.8 | |
| Bologna not to lose | 41% | |
| Inter not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bologna
- Bologna goals
- Inter goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Lecce2:1
- 19.09Torino1:1
- 13.09away · Napoli0:1
- 06.09Sassuolo2:2
- 31.08away · Atalanta0:1
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Bologna — Inter3:3
- 04.01.2026Inter — Bologna3:1
- 20.04.2025Bologna — Inter1:0
- 15.01.2025Inter — Bologna2:2
- 09.03.2024Bologna — Inter0:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 1221672The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 6524111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →