Serie A, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Bologna — Monza
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bologna are clear favourites: 57% against 16% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bologna are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bologna — Monza What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Bologna not to lose | 84% | |
| Monza not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bologna
- Bologna goals
- Monza goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Lecce2:1
- 19.09Torino1:1
- 13.09away · Napoli0:1
- 06.09Sassuolo2:2
- 31.08away · Atalanta0:1
- 11.10away · Lazio1:3
- 18.09Sassuolo2:1
- 13.09away · Lecce2:3
- 06.09away · Parma1:1
- 01.09away · Torino1:0
Head to head
- 18.01.2025Bologna — Monza3:1
- 03.12.2024Bologna — Monza4:0
- 22.09.2024Monza — Bologna1:2
- 13.04.2024Bologna — Monza0:0
- 28.09.2023Monza — Bologna0:0
Table
Serie A on the same day
- UdineseRomapreliminary1726572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
- MilanInterpreliminary2328492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →