Serie A, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Udinese — Roma

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Model prediction for 31 October

Udinese17%
Draw26%
Roma57%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Roma are clear favourites: 57% against 17% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Roma are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Udinese — Roma What is xG?0.9–1.7
Udinese not to lose43%
Roma not to lose83%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes52%
Both teams to score: no48%
Total over 2.548%
Total under 2.552%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Udinese
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  • Roma goals
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Form

Udinese

  • 12.10away · Torino1:2
  • 19.09Cagliari0:1
  • 14.09away · Inter3:5
  • 07.09Lazio1:2
  • 02.09Venezia2:1

Roma

  • 11.10away · Como0:0
  • 19.09Inter2:2
  • 14.09away · Torino2:0
  • 10.09away · Fenerbahçe1:1
  • 05.09Atalanta2:1

Head to head

  • 02.02.2026Udinese — Roma1:0
  • 09.11.2025Roma — Udinese2:0
  • 26.01.2025Udinese — Roma1:2
  • 22.09.2024Roma — Udinese3:0
  • 25.04.2024Udinese — Roma1:2

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Champions LeagueLazio651011–4+716
3, Champions LeagueRoma642014–3+1114
4, Champions LeagueCagliari64116–3+313
14Bologna61235–7-25
15Udinese61149–13-44
16Monza61149–15-64

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie A on the same day

  • BolognaMonzapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
  • MilanInterpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →