Bundesliga, round 6 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Borussia Mönchengladbach 34%, Hoffenheim 38%, draw 28%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim What is xG? | 1.6–1.7 | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach not to lose | 62% | |
| Hoffenheim not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach goals
- Hoffenheim goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · 1. FC Köln1:2
- 19.09Mainz 053:4
- 12.09away · Freiburg0:5
- 05.09Elversberg3:4
- 29.08away · RB Leipzig0:3
- 10.10Hamburger SV2:3
- 20.09away · Paderborn1:3
- 17.09away · OFI Crete0:2
- 12.09VfB Stuttgart2:1
- 05.09Borussia Dortmund2:3
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim4:0
- 14.01.2026Hoffenheim — Borussia Mönchengladbach5:1
- 03.05.2025Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim4:4
- 21.12.2024Hoffenheim — Borussia Mönchengladbach1:2
- 20.04.2024Hoffenheim — Borussia Mönchengladbach4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Relegation play-off | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- 6421151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →