Bundesliga, round 6 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Hoffenheim are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 71%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Borussia Mönchengladbach — No. 18, 0 pts; Hoffenheim — No. 17, 3 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Borussia Mönchengladbach: 5 defeats in a row; Hoffenheim: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 wins, Hoffenheim 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim What is xG? | 1.6–1.8 | |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach not to lose | 57% | |
| Hoffenheim not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 29% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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- Handicap Borussia Mönchengladbach
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Form
- 11.10away · 1. FC Köln1:2
- 19.09Mainz 053:4
- 12.09away · Freiburg0:5
- 05.09Elversberg3:4
- 29.08away · RB Leipzig0:3
- 10.10Hamburger SV2:3
- 20.09away · Paderborn1:3
- 17.09away · OFI Crete0:2
- 12.09VfB Stuttgart2:1
- 05.09Borussia Dortmund2:3
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim4:0
- 14.01.2026Hoffenheim — Borussia Mönchengladbach5:1
- 03.05.2025Borussia Mönchengladbach — Hoffenheim4:4
- 21.12.2024Hoffenheim — Borussia Mönchengladbach1:2
- 20.04.2024Hoffenheim — Borussia Mönchengladbach4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16, Relegation play-off | Union Berlin | 5 | 1 | -12 | 4 |
| 17, Relegation | Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 18, Relegation | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Bundesliga on the same day
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →