Uruguayan Primera Division, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Boston River — Defensor Sporting
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Boston River are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Boston River are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Boston River 2 wins, Defensor Sporting 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boston River — Defensor Sporting What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Boston River not to lose | 73% | |
| Defensor Sporting not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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- Handicap Boston River
- Boston River goals
- Defensor Sporting goals
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Form
- 10.10away · Montevideo Wanderers3:1
- 04.10Juventud de las Piedras0:0
- 27.09away · Club Atletico Peñarol1:2
- 19.09Club Atlético Progreso1:2
- 12.09away · Racing2:3
- 10.10Cerro2:3
- 03.10away · Albion2:3
- 28.09Danubio1:0
- 20.09away · Nacional (URU)2:3
- 13.09Deportivo Maldonado1:0
Head to head
- 08.06.2026Defensor Sporting — Boston River1:1
- 11.04.2026Defensor Sporting — Boston River2:0
- 03.08.2025Boston River — Defensor Sporting4:0
- 01.02.2025Defensor Sporting — Boston River2:0
- 12.10.2024Defensor Sporting — Boston River1:2
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 373231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- 2830422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- 5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →