Brazilian Serie A, round 31 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Botafogo — Chapecoense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Botafogo are clear favourites: 70% against 11% for the opponent, draw 19%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Botafogo are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Botafogo — Chapecoense What is xG? | 2.1–0.8 | |
| Botafogo not to lose | 89% | |
| Chapecoense not to lose | 30% | |
| No draw | 81% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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- Handicap Botafogo
- Botafogo goals
- Chapecoense goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 12.10away · Coritiba1:1
- 08.10Vasco da Gama1:2
- 19.09away · Mirassol0:2
- 17.09Grêmio3:2
- 13.09RB Bragantino1:1
- 13.10Athletico Paranaense1:4
- 08.10away · Vitória0:4
- 19.09away · Atlético-MG1:1
- 12.09Internacional1:2
- 07.09away · Corinthians2:1
Head to head
- 15.05.2026Chapecoense — Botafogo2:0
- 21.04.2026Botafogo — Chapecoense1:0
- 19.04.2026Chapecoense — Botafogo1:4
- 28.11.2019Chapecoense — Botafogo0:1
- 27.08.2019Botafogo — Chapecoense0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Copa Sudamericana | Coritiba | 30 | 10 | -10 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo | 30 | 9 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Vitória | 30 | 10 | -11 | 36 |
| 19, Relegation | Remo | 30 | 5 | -15 | 25 |
| 20, Relegation | Chapecoense | 29 | 3 | -31 | 18 |
Brasileirao on the same day
- 6621131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3729341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4528261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →