Portuguese Primeira Liga, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Braga — Famalicão
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Braga are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Braga are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Braga — Famalicão What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Braga not to lose | 81% | |
| Famalicão not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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- Handicap Braga
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- Famalicão goals
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Form
- 09.10Sporting CP1:3
- 20.09away · Santa Clara0:0
- 14.09Estoril1:0
- 10.09away · Estrela da Amadora1:2
- 05.09away · Alverca2:1
- 12.10Alverca1:4
- 19.09away · Nacional4:0
- 13.09Sporting CP1:1
- 05.09away · Estrela da Amadora2:2
- 30.08Gil Vicente0:0
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Braga — Famalicão2:2
- 06.12.2025Famalicão — Braga1:2
- 25.04.2025Famalicão — Braga1:1
- 16.12.2024Braga — Famalicão3:3
- 18.01.2024Famalicão — Braga1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Braga | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela da Amadora | 8 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicão | 8 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | -9 | 7 |
Primeira Liga on the same day
- AroucaNacionalpreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Académico ViseuRio Avepreliminary4828241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- MarítimoSanta Clarapreliminary2631432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →