A-League Men (Australia), round 3 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Brisbane Roar FC — Auckland FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Auckland FC are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Auckland FC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 4 meetings: Brisbane Roar FC 0 wins, Auckland FC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brisbane Roar FC — Auckland FC What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| Brisbane Roar FC not to lose | 55% | |
| Auckland FC not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Brisbane Roar FC
- Brisbane Roar FC goals
- Auckland FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 25.04away · Perth Glory1:2
- 18.04Melbourne City FC2:3
- 10.04away · Central Coast Mariners2:2
- 02.04Sydney FC0:0
- 21.03Wellington Phoenix1:2
- 23.05Sydney FC1:0
- 15.05away · Adelaide United3:0
- 09.05Adelaide United1:1
- 02.05Melbourne City FC1:1
- 26.04away · Sydney FC2:2
Head to head
- 09.01.2026Brisbane Roar FC — Auckland FC0:2
- 23.11.2025Auckland FC — Brisbane Roar FC1:1
- 30.03.2025Brisbane Roar FC — Auckland FC0:2
- 19.10.2024Auckland FC — Brisbane Roar FC2:0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →