Danish Superliga, round 10 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Brøndby Stadion
Brøndby IF — Lyngby
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
5:2Came true
In short
Final score 5:2: the model's most likely outcome, Brøndby IF to win (56%), came true.
Brøndby IF are clear favourites: 56% against 18% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brøndby IF are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brøndby IF — Lyngby What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Brøndby IF not to lose | 82% | |
| Lyngby not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Brøndby IF
- Brøndby IF goals
- Lyngby goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09FC København0:1
- 14.09away · FC Midtjylland1:4
- 06.09Randers FC0:3
- 30.08away · Nordsjælland1:3
- 24.08Silkeborg3:1
Head to head
- 03.03.2025Brøndby IF — Lyngby1:1
- 04.08.2024Lyngby — Brøndby IF0:2
- 26.11.2023Lyngby — Brøndby IF3:3
- 13.08.2023Brøndby IF — Lyngby3:0
- 05.03.2023Lyngby — Brøndby IF1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Championship round | Nordsjælland | 10 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
| 5, Championship round | Brøndby IF | 10 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 6, Championship round | AC Horsens | 10 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 10, Relegation round | AGF | 10 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 11, Relegation round | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | -9 | 7 |
| 12, Relegation round | Sønderjyske | 10 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
Next matches
- LyngbyNordsjælland18 October · Danish Superliga2527492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- OBBrøndby IF18 October · Danish Superliga3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
Danish Superliga on the same day
- 3329382The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.2.7
- 4229291The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:3Final score 3:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.7
- 3329382The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →