Danish Superliga, round 11 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Lyngby — Nordsjælland
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Nordsjælland are clear favourites: 49% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nordsjælland are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lyngby — Nordsjælland What is xG? | 1.4–1.9 | |
| Lyngby not to lose | 51% | |
| Nordsjælland not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lyngby
- Lyngby goals
- Nordsjælland goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10OB0:0
- 20.09away · Viborg1:4
- 13.09AGF2:0
- 07.09away · FC Midtjylland2:2
- 03.09away · FC København0:2
Head to head
- 16.03.2025Lyngby — Nordsjælland1:0
- 11.08.2024Nordsjælland — Lyngby1:1
- 18.02.2024Nordsjælland — Lyngby3:2
- 03.09.2023Lyngby — Nordsjælland1:1
- 19.02.2023Lyngby — Nordsjælland1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Championship round | Viborg | 10 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 4, Championship round | Nordsjælland | 10 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
| 5, Championship round | Brøndby IF | 10 | 5 | 0 | 16 |
| 10, Relegation round | AGF | 10 | 1 | -3 | 8 |
| 11, Relegation round | Lyngby | 10 | 1 | -9 | 7 |
| 12, Relegation round | Sønderjyske | 10 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
Danish Superliga on the same day
- 4328301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →