Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Estadio Américo Montanini
Bucaramanga — Águilas Doradas
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In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Bucaramanga to win (46%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 46% fails in about 54 matches out of 100 on average.
Bucaramanga are clear favourites: 46% against 25% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bucaramanga — Águilas Doradas What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Bucaramanga not to lose | 75% | |
| Águilas Doradas not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bucaramanga
- Bucaramanga goals
- Águilas Doradas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 05.10Junior FC3:1
- 26.09away · Once Caldas3:1
- 21.09Internacional de Bogotá2:0
- 18.09Independiente Medellín2:2
- 13.09away · Deportivo Pereira3:1
- 10.10away · Alianza FC2:2
- 03.10CD Jaguares2:0
- 28.09away · Deportivo Cali0:2
- 24.09away · América de Cali0:1
- 19.09Deportivo Pereira2:2
Head to head
- 08.04.2026Águilas Doradas — Bucaramanga2:1
- 25.08.2025Bucaramanga — Águilas Doradas4:0
- 08.03.2025Águilas Doradas — Bucaramanga0:1
- 21.10.2024Águilas Doradas — Bucaramanga1:3
- 28.03.2024Bucaramanga — Águilas Doradas1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | +10 | 24 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 11 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
Next matches
- Águilas DoradasTolima18 October · Colombian Primera A353034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- BucaramangaAmérica de Cali19 October · Colombian Primera A3931301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →