Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Bucaramanga — América de Cali
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Bucaramanga are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 31%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Bucaramanga — No. 3, 24 pts; América de Cali — No. 1, 27 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Bucaramanga: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Bucaramanga 0 wins, América de Cali 4, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Bucaramanga 5, América de Cali 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bucaramanga — América de Cali What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Bucaramanga not to lose | 70% | |
| América de Cali not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bucaramanga
- Bucaramanga goals
- América de Cali goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 14.10Águilas Doradas1:1
- 05.10Junior FC3:1
- 26.09away · Once Caldas3:1
- 21.09Internacional de Bogotá2:0
- 18.09Independiente Medellín2:2
- 12.10Independiente Medellín1:2
- 05.10away · Llaneros FC2:1
- 24.09Águilas Doradas1:0
- 21.09away · Tolima1:1
- 15.09Deportivo Pasto0:1
Head to head
- 03.04.2026América de Cali — Bucaramanga2:0
- 06.03.2026América de Cali — Bucaramanga2:1
- 17.09.2025América de Cali — Bucaramanga0:0
- 03.02.2025Bucaramanga — América de Cali0:4
- 19.08.2024Bucaramanga — América de Cali1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 13 | 8 | +16 | 27 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 3, Semi-final groups | Bucaramanga | 12 | 6 | +10 | 24 |
| 4, Semi-final groups | Atlético Nacional | 11 | 7 | +11 | 23 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 3030402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
- 4230281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →