Uzbekistan Super League, round 25 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Bunyodkor Tashkent — Mashal Muborak
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bunyodkor Tashkent are clear favourites: 65% against 13% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bunyodkor Tashkent are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bunyodkor Tashkent — Mashal Muborak What is xG? | 1.8–0.7 | |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent not to lose | 87% | |
| Mashal Muborak not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bunyodkor Tashkent
- Bunyodkor Tashkent goals
- Mashal Muborak goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- 19.09Buxoro2:1
- 09.09away · Nasaf Qarshi0:3
- 04.09Surkhon-20110:1
- 26.08away · Lokomotiv Tashkent1:4
- 09.10away · Kokand 19120:3
- 19.09Pakhtakor Tashkent1:2
- 11.09away · Lokomotiv Tashkent0:3
- 05.09away · Sogdiana2:5
- 26.08Navbahor Namangan0:2
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Mashal Muborak — Bunyodkor Tashkent0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Xorazm | 23 | 5 | -14 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor Tashkent | 23 | 7 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | -36 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →