Segunda Division, round 12 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Burgos CF — Castellón
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Burgos CF 34%, Castellón 36%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Castellón are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Burgos CF — Castellón What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Burgos CF not to lose | 64% | |
| Castellón not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Burgos CF
- Burgos CF goals
- Castellón goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Granada0:1
- 03.10away · Almería1:2
- 27.09Eldense1:0
- 20.09away · Las Palmas2:1
- 11.09AD Ceuta FC3:1
- 11.10away · FC Andorra0:1
- 04.10AD Ceuta FC1:1
- 28.09away · Leganés2:0
- 19.09Tenerife5:0
- 12.09away · Girona2:1
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Castellón — Burgos CF3:1
- 10.11.2025Burgos CF — Castellón0:0
- 01.03.2025Castellón — Burgos CF2:1
- 01.09.2024Burgos CF — Castellón0:2
Table
Segunda Division on the same day
- EldenseGranadapreliminary362934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
- AD Ceuta FCSporting Gijónpreliminary2829432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- TenerifeFC Andorrapreliminary343035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →