Segunda Division, round 12 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Tenerife — FC Andorra

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Model prediction for 1 November

Tenerife34%
Draw30%
FC Andorra35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Tenerife 34%, FC Andorra 35%, draw 30%.

The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 45%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Tenerife — FC Andorra What is xG?1.1–1.1
Tenerife not to lose65%
FC Andorra not to lose66%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes45%
Both teams to score: no55%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Tenerife
  • Tenerife goals
  • FC Andorra goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Tenerife

  • 12.10Girona1:1
  • 05.10away · Córdoba2:3
  • 26.09Cádiz1:1
  • 19.09away · Castellón0:5
  • 13.09Leganés2:0

FC Andorra

  • 11.10Castellón1:0
  • 04.10away · Sabadell0:0
  • 26.09away · Granada3:2
  • 19.09Sporting Gijón1:3
  • 12.09Real Sociedad B1:3

Head to head

  • 03.02.2024Tenerife — FC Andorra0:0
  • 03.09.2023FC Andorra — Tenerife0:1
  • 14.05.2023FC Andorra — Tenerife1:0
  • 16.12.2022Tenerife — FC Andorra1:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Real Valladolid933313–11+212
12Tenerife933311–13-212
13Celta Fortuna932414–15-111
16Leganés93246–14-811
17FC Andorra931513–15-210
18Córdoba930614–20-69

Season 2026/27

Full table

Segunda Division on the same day

  • EldenseGranadapreliminary
    XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.6
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →