Segunda Division, round 10 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Burgos CF — Sabadell
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Burgos CF 37%, Sabadell 31%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 30%, both teams to score — 39%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Burgos CF — Sabadell What is xG? | 1.0–0.9 | |
| Burgos CF not to lose | 69% | |
| Sabadell not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 39% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 61% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 30% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Burgos CF
- Burgos CF goals
- Sabadell goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Granada0:1
- 03.10away · Almería1:2
- 27.09Eldense1:0
- 20.09away · Las Palmas2:1
- 11.09AD Ceuta FC3:1
- 10.10away · AD Ceuta FC2:1
- 04.10FC Andorra0:0
- 26.09away · Celta Fortuna1:1
- 20.09Real Oviedo3:1
- 13.09away · Mallorca0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | +7 | 17 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Real Oviedo | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 2829442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- 5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 4628271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 5425201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →