Uzbekistan Super League, round 23 · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Buxoro — Andijon
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Came true
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Buxoro to win (47%), came true.
Buxoro are clear favourites: 47% against 26% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Buxoro — Andijon What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Buxoro not to lose | 74% | |
| Andijon not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Buxoro
- Buxoro goals
- Andijon goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Bunyodkor Tashkent1:2
- 11.09Navbahor Namangan1:4
- 05.09away · Qizilqum Zarafshon2:3
- 24.08away · Kokand 19121:1
- 18.08Neftchi Fargona4:1
- 20.09Nasaf Qarshi1:4
- 10.09Kokand 19122:1
- 04.09away · Pakhtakor Tashkent0:3
- 25.08Xorazm1:0
- 19.08away · Mashal Muborak1:0
Head to head
- 27.07.2026Andijon — Buxoro2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijon | 23 | 9 | -2 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 23 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
Next matches
- AndijonQizilqum Zarafshon15 October · Uzbekistan Super League4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Dinamo SamarkandBuxoro17 October · Uzbekistan Super League3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
Uzbekistan Super League on the same day
- 6125141The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 6919121The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 5325221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →